Upbound Group Stock Performance
| UPBD Stock | 18.60 0.30 1.59% |
The entity has a beta of 0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Upbound's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Upbound is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Upbound Group has a negative expected return of -0.0507%. Please make sure to validate Upbound's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Upbound Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Upbound Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Upbound is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.61 | Five Day Return (2.98) | Year To Date Return 8.93 | Ten Year Return 42.32 | All Time Return 1.1 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0839 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 5:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.56 | Dividend Date 2026-01-06 |
1 | Disposition of 12340 shares by Fahmi Karam of Upbound at 20.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/04/2025 |
2 | Inspire Advisors LLC Buys New Holdings in Upbound Group, Inc. UPBD | 11/18/2025 |
3 | How buyback programs support Upbound Group Inc. stock - Weekly Trend Summary Real-Time Stock Movement Alerts - Newser | 12/05/2025 |
4 | Conestoga Energy Appoints Jeff Chesnut as Chief Financial Officer | 12/09/2025 |
5 | Upbound Group Cheap For A Reason - Seeking Alpha | 12/15/2025 |
6 | Upbound Group Raised to Buy at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat | 12/19/2025 |
7 | Upbound Group Rating Increased to Hold at Zacks Research | 12/31/2025 |
| Upbound dividend paid on 6th of January 2026 | 01/06/2026 |
8 | Upbound Group Director Buys 44,235.36 in Stock - MarketBeat | 01/08/2026 |
9 | Upbound Group Rating Lowered to Hold at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat | 01/16/2026 |
10 | Is Upbound Group Pricing Reflect Recent Volatility In Rent To Own Retail | 01/22/2026 |
11 | TD Cowen Highlights Structural Growth in Specialty Finance, Keeps Upbound Buy | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 93.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -41.5 M |
Upbound Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,957 in Upbound Group on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (97.00) from holding Upbound Group or give up 4.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Upbound Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5257% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Upbound, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Upbound Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Upbound Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.60 | 90 days | 18.60 | about 44.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Upbound to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.21 (This Upbound Group probability density function shows the probability of Upbound Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Upbound has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Upbound average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Upbound Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Upbound Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Upbound Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Upbound
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upbound Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Upbound Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Upbound is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Upbound's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Upbound Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Upbound within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Upbound Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Upbound for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Upbound Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Upbound Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of January 2026 Upbound paid 0.39 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: TD Cowen Highlights Structural Growth in Specialty Finance, Keeps Upbound Buy |
Upbound Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Upbound Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Upbound's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upbound's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.9 M |
Upbound Fundamentals Growth
Upbound Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Upbound, and Upbound fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Upbound Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0702 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.8 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 57.91 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.57 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.32 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.19 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 339.01 M | ||||
| Net Income | 123.48 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 60.86 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.58 B | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.87 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 104.72 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.09 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.65 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.04 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (94.32 M) | ||||
About Upbound Performance
By analyzing Upbound's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Upbound's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Upbound has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Upbound has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 264.29 | 251.07 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.16 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
Things to note about Upbound Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Upbound for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Upbound Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Upbound Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of January 2026 Upbound paid 0.39 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: TD Cowen Highlights Structural Growth in Specialty Finance, Keeps Upbound Buy |
- Analyzing Upbound's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Upbound's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Upbound's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Upbound's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Upbound's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Upbound's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Upbound's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Upbound Stock analysis
When running Upbound's price analysis, check to measure Upbound's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upbound is operating at the current time. Most of Upbound's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upbound's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upbound's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upbound to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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